York Postdoctoral Fellow Joshua Culpepper measures a chunk of ice on Lake Simcoe. Photo by former York Postdoc Kirill Shchapov of Sapna Sharma\u2019s lab<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\u201cFor a transport truck, they require 100 cm or about 42 inches of black ice. So those benchmarks on transportation are no longer viable because there is more white ice, which is approximately less than half the strength of black ice. What we\u2019re predicting is a 95 to a 99 per cent loss in winter ice road transportation infrastructure without meaningful adaptations for ice safety.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That could mean remote communities are at risk of not being cut off and unable to access food, supplies, medicine and the like, during the winter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Unseasonable winter weather<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nFor this study, Culpepper and some of his co-authors had to stop taking ice measurements in mid-February on Lake Simcoe and early March on Paint Lake in the Muskoka region because the ice cover was dangerously thin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Changes in precipitation from unseasonably warm weather is creating a lot of the unsafe ice conditions and unpredictability. Warmer temperatures, rain and even snow can alter the strength and thickness of lake ice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sharma and Culpepper recommend checking the weather reports for the last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cLake ice has a memory,\u201d says Sharma. \u201cAll of the weather fluctuations are stored in the ice. If the temperature was over 0 C for a period of time, if there was rain or if there were extremely sunny conditions, all of that can affect the safety of the ice for human use. When there are freeze thaw events or temperatures are above 0 C, the ice becomes weaker, and it becomes structurally less stable.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Underneath the ice<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
An example of clear black ice. By Postdoctoral Fellow Joshua Culpepper<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\nThe diminishing quality of ice is also affecting life below, the amount of nutrients available for fish and other aquatic life, such as invertebrates, as well as phytoplankton which needs light for photosynthesis, but with more white ice, it\u2019s blocking some of that light and compromising the health of the ecosystem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But as Culpepper says, their study is one of only a few that looks at the quality of lake ice and yet that ice is changing dramatically. \u201cThe thing that stuck out to me first is the surprising lack of data that we have on ice quality broadly,\u201d he says. \u201cWe were diving into what data was available, but trying to find exactly what we could work with in terms of data that\u2019s available in the Northern Hemisphere was pretty challenging.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What\u2019s needed, he says, is regular measurements of ice quality, including black and white ice thickness, throughout the Northern Hemisphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The paper, Lake ice quality in a warming world<\/a>, was published today in the journal Nature Reviews Earth and Environment<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Media release from September 19, 2024 Several studies have looked at lake ice quantity and its duration, but there is little research on the quality of the ice which directly corresponds to how safe it is to venture out on. Ice may look safe for a game of pick-up hockey on the lake, but as […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1202,"featured_media":34951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,22,324],"tags":[48,136,37,28,25,26,137,38,57,87],"class_list":["post-34945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-biology","category-research","category-unsdg","tag-biology","tag-community","tag-everyone","tag-faculty","tag-faculty-of-science","tag-keele-campus","tag-news","tag-research","tag-research-and-innovation","tag-stay-informed"],"yoast_head":"\n
Lake ice quality degrading as planet warms - Faculty of Science<\/title>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\n\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n